Saturday, April 4, 2026

NFLX Showing Relative Strength Ahead of a Potential Breakout

 

Over the past several weeks, NFLX has really caught my attention, and I think it’s setting up in a way that traders should be paying close attention to. On the daily chart above, I’m looking at a stock that has been acting far better than much of the broader market, and that kind of behavior is always worth noting. In the lower pane, I’m using a ratio line of NFLX versus SPY, and that comparison is telling an important story.

Back in late February, NFLX had a powerful gap higher, and since then it has been working through a consolidation phase. That kind of price action is often constructive because rather than immediately giving back the move, the stock has been digesting gains in an orderly fashion. To me, that suggests institutions may still be involved and that the stock is being accumulated rather than distributed. When a stock gaps up and then holds the bulk of that move, I always see that as something potentially bullish.

What stands out even more is what happened two weeks ago. NFLX pulled back and tested the beginning of that gap area, which is a spot I would expect to matter technically. Instead of falling apart, buyers stepped in and defended the level. That support tells me demand is still present, and it reinforces the idea that the gap wasn’t just a one day event. It now looks more like a meaningful reference point on the chart.

The real reason I’m interested here, though, is the relative strength. While the overall market has had its ups and downs (mostly down), NFLX has continued to show leadership. In the bottom pane, the ratio line is doing something I pay very close attention to: it has already broken out to a new swing high ahead of price itself. That’s a pattern I respect because the ratio line often acts like a leading indicator. When relative strength improves before price actually clears resistance, it can be an early clue that a breakout may be coming.

In my experience, when I see a stock outperforming quietly beneath the surface while price is still consolidating, it often means the stock is preparing for its next leg higher. That doesn’t guarantee anything, of course, but it definitely puts the name on my radar.

From here, I’ll be watching closely for a breakout over the $100.19 high. That level is the trigger that would tell me price is finally ready to confirm what the ratio line has already been hinting at. If NFLX can clear that area with conviction, I think there’s a reasonable path toward the $110 zone. As long as relative strength continues to lead, I’ll stay constructive on the setup.

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