Monday, December 15, 2025

CURLF Holds Breakout While Maintaining Leadership in Cannabis

 


Above is a daily chart of CURLF, with the lower pane displaying the relative strength ratio of CURLF versus MSOS, and the technical picture is starting to look increasingly constructive. On Friday, CURLF broke out decisively on very heavy volume, a clear sign that big money interest may be returning to the name. Breakouts that occur on expanding volume tend to be more reliable, as they suggest real demand rather than a fleeting short-covering move or retail driven pop.

Following that strong breakout day, today’s action formed an inside day. Rather than being a negative, this is often exactly what you want to see after a powerful move. Price paused, consolidated the gains, and most importantly held above the breakout level. This type of tight consolidation indicates that sellers are not aggressively pressing their bets, while buyers appear comfortable holding their positions. In other words, the market is digesting the prior move instead of immediately giving it back.

The lower pane adds an important layer of confirmation. The CURLF versus MSOS ratio line remains in a clear uptrend, even through the recent pullback in the broader cannabis space. That relative strength is critical. It tells us that CURLF has been outperforming the sector ETF, which is exactly the behavior you want to see when trying to identify potential leaders. Strong stocks tend to stay strong on a relative basis, even when the group temporarily cools off.

Today, the ratio line turned higher once again, reinforcing the idea that CURLF continues to attract incremental capital compared to its peers. For me, that is further evidence that this stock is positioning itself as one of the leaders within the cannabis space rather than just another name moving in sympathy with headlines.

From a tactical standpoint, the level to watch is the high of the “mother candle” from Friday, which comes in at 4.04. A decisive move back above that level could trigger another breakout and potentially mark the start of a new leg higher. Until then, the current price action suggests constructive consolidation rather than distribution.

While cannabis traders will understandably remain on alert for any new headlines regarding rescheduling, it’s always an advantage to do the work in advance. Knowing which stocks are already showing leadership allows you to react decisively if the sector starts to run. CURLF, based on both price and relative strength, is firmly on that list.

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