Monday, December 15, 2025

Always One Stop Away: The Cannabis Catalyst and the Waiting Game

 


Expectations were high heading into today after CNBC reported Friday that President Trump was expected to move forward with rescheduling cannabis. That announcement never came. Markets, which had been pricing in near-term clarity, were left in limbo once again.

However, the story didn’t end there.

When asked directly by a reporter about marijuana rescheduling, Trump made it clear the issue is still very much on the table. His response was emphatic: “We’re looking at reclassifying marijuana VERY STRONGLY, it unlocks MASSIVE medical research!” While no timeline was provided, the language itself was notable. This wasn’t a dismissal or a delay framed as uncertainty. It was a reaffirmation of intent.

That distinction matters for investors.

Cannabis stocks have spent years trading in a fog of regulatory ambiguity, reacting violently to headlines while drifting lower in between. Today’s non-event reinforces a familiar pattern,  expectations run ahead of policy, followed by frustration when reality doesn’t immediately catch up. Yet the underlying thesis hasn’t changed. Rescheduling remains widely expected, the only real question is timing.

Some believe it could still happen this week. Others are looking toward year-end as a more realistic window. Until then, price action will continue to reflect that tension between hope and patience.

From a market perspective, these pauses often matter less than the broader trend. Big moves in heavily shorted, sentiment-driven sectors rarely begin with perfect clarity. They begin with uncertainty, skepticism, and repeated false starts. When the policy finally arrives, the market response is rarely subtle.

For now, cannabis investors remain in wait-and-see mode, watching headlines closely, but understanding that the eventual catalyst is likely a matter of when, not if.

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