This week should be a very interesting one for cannabis stocks, because I believe we may be getting close to a move that finally ignites. Above is a weekly chart of MSOS, and the very first thing that jumps out at me is the presence of back to back inside weeks. When you see this type of price action, it tells you the market is tightening up. Over the past three weeks, the trading range has continued to narrow, and many times this kind of contraction is exactly what precedes an explosive move.
What makes these inside weeks even more compelling is where the weekly closes are occurring. Each of the last few weekly closes has been within roughly five cents of one another. In my opinion, that’s not a coincidence. It shows a real equilibrium between buyers and sellers, where neither side has been able to gain the upper hand. When markets reach this type of balance, they rarely stay there for long. Eventually, something gives.
Now, does this mean I’m predicting that a major catalyst is guaranteed to appear this coming week? Not at all. Markets don’t need official news to move. Sometimes the anticipation of news is enough. Traders may start positioning ahead of a potential announcement. Maybe rumors begin circulating that Pam Bondi is close to finalizing rescheduling. Maybe the White House provides an update. Or maybe nothing concrete happens at all. Regardless, when price contracts this tightly, even a small spark can start a move that snowballs quickly.
As I’ve been saying for weeks, the key level I’m watching is $5. That level is my line in the sand. I want to see MSOS trade $5.01 bid before I add to my long position. A clean move above $5 would tell me that buyers are finally stepping in with conviction and that the market is ready to resolve higher. Until then, patience is required.
At the same time, I’m not ignoring the downside. It’s entirely possible that we head lower first, especially if the market decides it wants to fill the gap sitting below current prices. That scenario wouldn’t surprise me, and it wouldn’t invalidate the larger setup either. Consolidations can break in either direction before the real move unfolds.
The main takeaway for me is simple: this market is contracting, volatility is being compressed, and a meaningful move is likely right around the corner. Whether it happens on a headline or simply on positioning and anticipation, I’ll be watching closely.
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