TCNNF and the 50-Day Cycle: My Low-Risk, High-Reward Cannabis Setup

 

If you’ve been following my recent posts, you know I’ve been watching the 50-day cycle in MSOS very closely. It’s a cycle I’ve been stalking because it tends to mark some of the most important turning points in the cannabis sector. As I mentioned in my last post, I believe the cyclical low is in, and that has me thinking about how this pattern connects with other big movers in the space. One of the standout names at the end of the day was TCNNF, which happens to be one of my favorite cannabis stocks. I wanted to zoom in and show you how that same 50-day rhythm in MSOS aligns surprisingly well with TCNNF.

Looking at the daily chart of TCNNF, it’s fascinating to see how consistently this cycle nails the lows. Each low is roughly the same distance apart, and that distance just so happens to be about 50 trading days. I’ve been tracking cycles for a while now, and the thing about them is that they repeat at fairly predictable intervals. The actual triggers for the moves, however, aren’t always obvious. Sometimes it’s news, sometimes it’s market sentiment, and sometimes it’s just the invisible hand of the cycle itself nudging prices at the right moment.

The last cyclical low for TCNNF was back in December, and if you remember, that rally was driven by anticipation of President Trump rescheduling cannabis. That event acted as a catalyst, giving life to the pattern and driving the stock higher. This time, I don’t know what the catalyst will be. Will it be Pam Bondi finalizing rescheduling? Some other regulatory announcement? The truth is, my job isn’t to predict headlines, it’s to identify patterns and trade them. Cycles have been described as mysterious forces that trigger events, and I’m just along for the ride, watching as the pieces fall into place.

Now, I have to admit, I could be totally wrong about the timing. Nothing in trading is guaranteed, and cycles aren’t foolproof. But the signals I’m seeing are aligning in a way that suggests this could be a low-risk, high-reward area. For me, TCNNF is at the top of my watchlist right now. The alignment of the 50-day cycle, combined with its history of predictable lows, makes this a stock I’m excited to follow closely. It’s one of those setups where the odds feel stacked in my favor, and even if the market surprises me, the risk remains defined.

Trading isn’t about certainty. it’s about positioning yourself where the probabilities are favorable. That’s exactly what I think I’m seeing with TCNNF right now, and I’m sharing it with all of you because the setup is too interesting to keep to myself.

This article reflects my personal market analysis and is for educational purposes only. For a deeper look with more data, see my post from yesterday on MSOS returning to the 50-day cycle window here

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